Rachel is gone. What you see is its final track. Right now: 35 mph, 255 mi (415 km) NNE of San Diego California.
Cone, track and warnings: NHC advisory 058. Models: ATCF run 2026101112 UTC.
Built from the NHC best track and the latest advisory.
It all began on September 25: a loose disturbance near 9.2°N 92.6°W. That was 16 days ago. It topped out on October 2 with 121 mph winds, a category 3 at the time. Along the way its center has covered roughly 3,535 miles, or 5,688 km.
At the latest advisory Rachel is a post-tropical with 35 mph winds and a central pressure of 994 mb, moving NNE at 29 mph (47 km/h).
10 cities within 435 miles of Rachel’s official track, with the time and strength of the closest pass. Our math, interpolated hourly from the NHC points.
As issued by the NHC in advisory 058.
New in this advisory. The government of Mexico has discontinued all coastal warnings.
For more information, Please consult products from your local weather office.
Rain, wind, surge and surf, straight from the advisory, with the numbers that matter highlighted.
High Wind Warnings and Wind Advisories are in effect across the southwestern United States. Gusty winds associated with the remnants of Rachel are spreading over interior portions of the southwestern United States, especially in areas of higher terrain, today and tomorrow. For more information, Please consult products from your local weather office.
Rachel and its associated moisture will bring total rainfall of 1 to 3 inches, with maximum amounts locally up to 5 inches from Southern California into the Great Basin and portions of the Southwest United States through today. This will continue to lead to the potential for significant flash and urban flooding.
For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Rachel, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic available at NHC graphic and the Flash Flood Risk graphic at NHC graphic.
Waves generated by Rachel will continue along the coasts of Southern California and northern Baja California today. These waves, combined with an incoming long-period southerly swell, will cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Coastal flooding and erosion are expected to worsen this morning as the highest waves coincide with the high tides and water levels that are already running well above predicted levels. Moderate to major coastal flooding is expected, with hazardous coastal conditions continuing the next few days. Please consult products from your local weather office.
Discussion and outlook from public advisory 058, quoted as issued.
At 800 AM MST (1500 UTC), the remnants of Rachel were located near latitude 35.8 North, longitude 114.6 West. The remnants are moving toward the north-northeast near 29 mph (46 km/h).
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 994 mb (29.36 inches).
Rachel’s top sustained wind from its first fix to now (white) and what the NHC expects next (dashed orange).
Active flood, wind and tropical alerts from the National Weather Service in states near the track (AZ, CA, NM, NV, UT). Not all of them are Rachel’s fault.
At the latest advisory (800 AM MST Sun Oct 11 2026), the center of Rachel was near 35.8N, 114.6W, about 255 mi (415 km) NNE of San Diego California, with maximum sustained winds of 35 mph (56 km/h).
Rachel is no longer active, so there is no forecast. The map shows the track it followed until the last advisory.
The official forecast track passes within about 215 miles of Yuma. Moisture from Pacific storms can bring heavy rain and flash flooding well away from the center; check the National Weather Service alerts below.
Rachel is currently a post-tropical with 35 mph winds. It would need another 39 mph to become a hurricane.
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. For more information, Please consult products from your local weather office at https://www.weather.gov/ Rainfall forecasts for the United States can always be found at https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml and outlooks of flash flood risks can be found at https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excessive_rainfall_outlook_ero.php .
